Country Insights popular
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March 13, 2024 11:30 AM UTC
The most recent update of our Country Insights model places Ireland, China and Belarus as strong performers in the Human Resource Potential factor. In contrast, Iraq, Equatorial Guinea and Congo rank at the top bottom of the ranking.
March 11, 2024 11:27 AM UTC
The most recent update of our Country Insights model places several African countries at the top of the Demography factor ranking, including Zambia, Uganda, Tanzania and others. In contrast, some European countries such as Croatia, Italy and Greece rank at the bottom of the list.
December 7, 2023 3:18 PM UTC
The Human Resource Potential factor measures the extent to which the country's economy is able to make use of its human resources. It assesses levels of education, employment, labor force participation, and labor market rigidity. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), the UAE, Ba
December 7, 2023 1:55 PM UTC
The Health factor measures the basic health of the population, as reflected by mortality levels (infant, child, maternal), current life expectancy at birth, and the ability of the health system to deliver vaccinations. In our latest update for the third quarter of 2023 (here), Chile, Uruguay, and Co
December 6, 2023 4:24 PM UTC
The Country Strength Index reflects a country’s macroeconomic, growth potential, political, and social strength. In particular, it is based on the four model’s pillars – external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest up
October 23, 2023 7:29 AM UTC
Asia Regional Overview
India continues to be an investor haven supported by strong economic growth and stable policy guidance. The political environment is heating up in India as well, as the country prepares for regional elections in five states in end-2023 and then for the larger general elections
October 20, 2023 3:21 PM UTC
Cambodia
Cambodia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Samdech Hun Sen remains the prime minister of the country and leader of Cambodia’s People Party (CPP) and has been since 1985. Hun Sen won the 2023 election with a 76.85%, winning 120 out of the 125 seats. The leader of the Cambodia Nati
October 20, 2023 3:18 PM UTC
Algeria
Algeria’s overall risk remains medium high. Since Abdelmadjid Tebboune assumed office in December 2019, a series of popular policies have been implemented, contributing to an enhancement of government and political stability. Notwithstanding, a number of challenges persist, making political
October 20, 2023 8:49 AM UTC
It is also feasible that Hezbollah in South Lebanon could be drawn into the conflict depending on how the situation in Gaza and Israel develops. Israel is also likely to retaliate against Iran at a later date, due to intense political pressures in Israel. This is most probably to involve attacks o
October 19, 2023 10:33 AM UTC
Armenia
Armenia’s overall risk level remains medium high. Vahagn Khachaturyan continues to be the president of Armenia after being in elected in March 2022, after the resignation of his predecessor. Political violence remains medium high and political interference and legal & regulatory risk at a m
October 19, 2023 9:19 AM UTC
Angola
Angola’s overall risk has decreased to a medium high level. In 2022 Lourenco was re-elected, after the previous presidency of Jose dos Santos that had lasted 38 years up to 2017. The new government has tried to increase investment from abroad through various policies, such as fiscal consolid
October 19, 2023 9:02 AM UTC
Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
The main issue across the Eastern Europe and CIS region is still the Russia - Ukraine war, which remains deadlocked. Taking into account that the winter is arriving (as Russia prefers to keep low level activity during the winter time), in addition to Russia’
October 18, 2023 9:23 AM UTC
Latin and Central America Regional Overview
During the last quarter, Brazil experienced a period of relative stability with no major significant events. President Lula has maintained his position of authority, while the opposition forces remain comparatively subdued. Some changes in the cabinet were
October 17, 2023 2:19 PM UTC
South Africa economic problems remain acute with large power cuts during the winter season and the logistic and transport crisis restraining production and exports. The government is trying to make progress on both fronts, but progress remains slow. Though the G7 and China has separately offered hel
September 1, 2023 12:59 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
The Investment Attractiveness Index weights three pillars of our Country Insights model; namely, external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, and medium-term growth potential. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Denmark, Poland, and Norwa
August 31, 2023 2:00 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
Consistent with a United Nations (UN) report on export diversification in Africa (here), our Country Insights model (here) suggests the need of countries in this continent to diversify their economies. Targeted trade policies aiming to achieve diversification will likely r
August 31, 2023 12:55 PM UTC
Source: Continuum Economics
The Country Strength Index weights the four pillars of our Country Insights model, which include external adjustment capacity, institutional robustness, medium-term growth potential, and social inclusion. In our latest update for the second quarter of 2023 (here), Uruguay,
July 21, 2023 7:26 AM UTC
Alongside India, its neighbor Pakistan’s elections are due in October, which will likely stoke violence there. Indonesia too is gearing up for elections in early 2024 and the political landscape there is also tense. In the past quarter, political risks were elevated in Asia given unpopular policie
July 21, 2023 7:15 AM UTC
Afghanistan
Afghanistan has a very-high overall risk. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (ruling political entity) is under the leadership of the Taliban, a predominantly Pashtun, and Islamic fundamentalist political movement. The presence of ethnic fragmentation, Islamic terrorist movement and human
July 20, 2023 1:02 PM UTC
South Africa remains in the spotlight, both due to problems relating to the Ukraine war and also the approaching 2024 general election (scheduled between May and August). The government is investigating U.S. claims that arms were shipped to Russia from a naval base, though the U.S. has downplayed th
July 20, 2023 7:31 AM UTC
Eastern Europe and CIS Regional Overview
In Russia, Wagner Group’s mutiny on June 23, which involved Wagner forces marching towards Moscow and taking control of military facilities in two Russian cities, tipped the scales and weakened President Putin’s authority. Despite Putin announcing on July
July 20, 2023 7:29 AM UTC
Albania
Albania has a medium overall risk. Political leadership is stable in Albania, with the Socialist Party of Albania retaining election for the third consecutive term in April 2021. The government are expected to serve its term in its entirety, with the next election in 2025. However, high food
July 19, 2023 2:15 PM UTC
Bahrain
Bahraini overall risk has fallen from medium-high to medium. Social unrest remains a challenge in Bahrain, due to its Shia Muslim population’s long-drawn discontent with the Sunni ruling Al Khalifa royal family. The Sunni ruling Al Khalifa royal family holds the main political and military
July 19, 2023 7:20 AM UTC
Latin and Central America Regional Overview
In Brazil, a significant development unfolded recently with the disqualification of former President Jair Bolsonaro, making headlines across the country. The Superior Electoral Tribunal found him guilty of misusing official communication and engaging in ec
July 14, 2023 9:37 AM UTC
Asia has emerged as a resilient region having faced a triad of shocks in the past year (Ukraine conflict, monetary tightening and commodity price rally), now faces a looming threat in the form of El Niño, with far-reaching consequences. Climate experts globally have highlighted a moderate to high r
June 2, 2023 2:43 PM UTC
The change in the Country Strength Index from 2020 Q2 to 2023 Q1 release shows an improvement of some Asian countries, whereas the countries that have deteriorated the most in the subsample are European.
The current outcome for Australia demonstrates its rapid recovery from the pandemic. Favorable te
June 1, 2023 4:08 PM UTC
The Q1 2023 Country Insights factor scores for social inequality are worth highlighting given their importance for the countries’ long-run inclusive development. This quarter’s results remain consistent with our previous releases.
Basic education scores highly for all countries in the region, whi
June 1, 2023 3:30 PM UTC
Developed Markets: DM investment attractiveness scores have deteriorated over the past quarter. Looking forward, in some countries, one factor to consider is the government debt trajectory, which could trigger sovereign risk and long-term interest-rate risks. For example, France would be unable to